2024 Insider Stock Recap: Key Challenges, Lessons, and Looking Ahead


Despite 2023’s strong market performance, 2024 has presented compelling opportunities to acquire high-quality businesses at attractive valuations. As we’ve seen repeatedly, investor time horizons compress to zero during drawdowns, and "hopium" stretches to infinity during bull cycles.

This phenomenon captures how investors often lose sight of the bigger picture in turbulent times while becoming overly optimistic in bull markets. This recurring behavioral bias creates opportunities for disciplined investors.

For those new to Insider Stocks, my approach can be distilled into one principle: I seek to acquire high-quality businesses based on proven performance without paying an inflated price for hopes and dreams.

Often, these exceptional businesses trade at seemingly expensive valuations. This is because investors anticipate multiple future growth catalysts or projects sustained high growth rates far into the future. During bull markets, it’s common for investors to view these companies through rose-colored glasses.

My approach is different. I prefer to wait until these businesses encounter temporary setbacks (which I believe to be short-lived). This allows me to acquire them at valuations that reflect only their current performance and highly probable prospects, paying little to nothing for the growth story.

Once I acquire these exceptional businesses, I will hold them long-term, allowing their inherent value to compound.

Adhering to this disciplined approach inevitably means missing out on some potential winners. For example, I discussed Wise in July 2023 and again in October 2024 but limited my investment to a small starter position due to valuation concerns. Since then, Wise’s stock has appreciated by 60% due to their strong execution.

However, I remain committed to this strategy. As the saying goes, “Protect the downside, and the upside will take care of itself.” This principle underpins my long-term investment philosophy.

Before we delve into these specific businesses, I want to offer a word of caution—to both you, the reader, and myself. While the market has enjoyed a strong run over the past two years, it’s essential not to let recent success cloud our judgment or alter our fundamental investment principles. The reality of investing is that nothing is guaranteed, and drawdowns are a natural part of the cycle. Therefore, it’s crucial to remain disciplined, avoid overconfidence, and resist the temptation to extrapolate recent upward trends indefinitely into the future.

Now, let’s dive into some of the businesses that faced temporary troubles in 2024 (at least in my view) and explore what lies ahead in 2025.

Stocks discussed: Tesla, PayPal, Paycom and Lululemon

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I write about investment concepts, business breakdowns and timeless lessons from super investors. Featured on Business Times, Channel News Asia (CNA) and more. Read by over 10,000 investors.

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